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Forward Evidence Accumulation
Forward signals are descriptive only. Statistical significance requires substantial sample size.
PAPER ONLY
MARKET_SIGNAL_V1_1 FROZEN
Settled Signals
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0W - 0L
Flat Profit (1u)
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ROI: —
Win Rate
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High odds ≠ high winrate
Avg Execution Odds
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Decimal odds mean
Avg Closing Line (CLV)
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—% Positive CLV
Closing Line Value (CLV)
Compares execution odds with the final closing price before kickoff. Persistent positive CLV demonstrates informational advantage independent of short-term variance.
Fair Odds & Discrepancy
Derived from leave-one-out consensus median probability across multiple bookmakers. Discrepancy indicates when a bookmaker misprices relative to market agreement.
Sample Size Thresholds
<30: very small; 30–99: early forward; ≥100: larger sample. Avoid ranking categories or claiming proven edges from small sample noise.
Category Performance Breakdown
| Category | Signals | Settled | W / L | Win Rate | Flat Profit | ROI | Avg Odds | Avg Edge | Avg CLV | +CLV % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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